Home Blog Page 5

Kyrgyzstan Targets Financial Stability with Budget Surplus Plan

0

The Central Asian state of Kyrgyzstan is likely to deliver a healthy fiscal performance over the medium term, with the Ministry of Finance expecting more budget surplus ahead. This optimistic outlook is supported by a corresponding growth in government revenues which is expected of increase from 465. up to 3 billion soms in the year 2025 will increase up to 655 billion soms by the year 2029. While it is noteworthy that the surplus in terms of the GDP will reduce—from 2. In 2015, the proportion of households with such problems was 5%, which in 2025 is expected to rise to 6% to 1.9% by 2029. The government is still optimistic in its ability to balance its financial competence and to provide for the people responsibly.

One of the factors that have been instrumental in achieving this surplus is an increase in revenue by the government, especially through tax collection. The total VAT revenues experienced a significant surge, increasing by approximately 22% and 3% between January and May of 2024, largely due to notable increases in domestic trade and import activities. These gains have been achieved with productivity gains outstripping the rise in government spending, which rose only by a meager 6.6% in the same period of time.

This will, of course, be important for Kyrgyzstan as it works towards decreasing its national debt, which currently sits at $5.9 billion. There are budgetary provisions of $74 million for debt servicing for the year 2024; the country envisages less dependence on external creditors and utilizes part of the surplus for reinvestment and development in the domestic economy.

Source: The Times of Central Asia

Sudan Rejects UN call for Impartial Force to Protect Civilians

0

In the midst of its ongoing conflict, Sudan has rejected a call from United Nations-backed
human rights experts of an “independent and impartial force” to protect people. In a report released on Friday, the United Nations’ Independent International Fact-Finding Mission for Sudan stated that atrocities possibly qualifying as war crimes and crimes against humanity had been carried out by the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF).
The UN experts urged for the immediate deployment of a protection force, as well as an
expansion of the arms embargo across Sudan. The mission’s report highlighted “harrowing human rights violations,” including rape, torture, and indiscriminate attacks on civilians.
Mona Rishmawi, a member of the mission, called the situation a “wake-up call” for the
international community, emphasizing the need for swift action to bring those responsible for the crimes to justice. Sudan’s foreign ministry, however, disapproved of the findings, stating on Saturday that the recommendations were “a flagrant violation of their mandate” and that the UN Human Rights Council is “a political and illegal body.” Moreover, stated that, “the protection of civilians remains an absolute priority for the Sudanese government,”  and accused the RSF of specifically targeting civilians.
However, over 25 million people in Sudan face severe hunger as the conflict continues to devastate the nation.

Central Asia Host Fifth World Nomad Games

0

The World Nomad Games takes place on September 8th-13th 2024 in Central Asia. It is an international sports competition celebrating ethnic sports. Organizers are actively preparing for the event, with enthusiasm for the event growing across Central Asia and beyond as a sporting and cultural festival of the nomadic heritage.

Initially, the Games started in 2014 and have rapidly expanded in terms of popularity and the number of participants, and are now recognized as a global celebration of the nomadic culture. Around 83 different countries are expected to participate in the upcoming event, which will include various nomadic games, including kok-boru, a type of horseback wrestling, horse racing, archery, and falconry. In the words of the officials, the Games will represent the shared past of nomads and will contribute to the reciprocal exchange of cultures on an international level.

The official representative of the World Nomad Games has expressed the desire to host the largest and brightest event in 2024: “It is not only the competition but the reflection of the culture that has united us.” The Organizing Committee has invested substantial efforts as well as financial means, which is estimated to be $50 million, to the enhancement of infrastructure, accommodation, and guaranteeing the security and comfort of all the participants and hence the spectators. But perhaps its most memorable aspect is that the World Nomad Games combine both sport and culture.

In addition to the competitive performances, guests will be able to listen to nomadic tunes and songs, taste authentic food, and buy crafts made by the people from the desert. In addition to the Ras Afro games, over 500 cultural troupes are expected to perform, thus turning the games into a cultural fair.

Source:  The Times of Central Asia, The Astana Times

Gunman from Jordan Kills Three Israelis at Allenby Bridge crossing

0

A Jordanian gunman shot and killed three Israeli settlers on Sunday at the Allenby Bridge crossing between Jordan and the West Bank, Israeli authorities reported. The attacker, identified as 39-year-old Maher al-Jazi, arrived in a truck at the Israeli-controlled commercial cargo area. The Israeli military released a statement saying, “The attacker approached the area, exited the truck, and opened fire at Israeli security forces”  Al-Jazi was shot dead at the scene.

The three Zionist settlers who were killed at the West Bank and Jordan border were identified as Yohanan Shchori, Yuri Birnbaum, and Adrian Marcelo Podzamczer. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu condemned the attack, calling it “a heinous crime carried out by an abhorrent individual,” and expressed his condolences to the families of the victims. “We are surrounded by a murderous ideology led by Iran’s axis of evil. These extremists want to murder us all, regardless of who we are,” Netanyahu said in a cabinet meeting following the incident.

Palestinian resistance group Hamas, while not claiming responsibility, praised the attack, calling it “a natural response” to Israeli actions in Gaza and also stated “The Jordanian hero’s pistol in supporting our Al-Aqsa and our people was more effective than massive armies and a stacked military arsenal.”

Hamas further added that “Our fighters performed the funeral prayer in absentia for the martyr hero of the operation.” The family of Al-Jazi also labeled him as a ‘martyr’ and supported his action. In Jordan’s capital Amman, people celebrated the action and consider it as the heroic operation in which 3 Israeli soldiers were neutralized.

Following the incident, ‘the crossing’ which is regarded as a vital conduit for Palestinians going between the West Bank and Jordan was temporarily closed. Jordan’s Interior Ministry identified al-Jazi and confirmed that he acted alone. The ministry is working to repatriate his body. An Israeli military spokeswoman stated, “There are serious questions about how a gunman was able to enter such a militarized area.” Concerns regarding security at the extremely sensitive border have been highlighted by the incident.

Analyzing Human Security in Venezuela Amidst Political Instability

Venezuela used to be one of the wealthiest nations in Latin America, but its decline and current predicament serve as a stark example of how bad governance and economic hardship can devastate a nation. The economic sanctions, even employed to target the Mudauro’s regime, worsened the situation in already struggling country due to its political instability, resulting in strengthen the various crises in the country. These crises deprived the residents of the basic needs i.e. food, safety and health, day by day effecting the human security. Mainly, economic sanctions are imposed in any country to encourage the Democratic situation and human rights but in case of Venezuela these factors have not only led to economic collapse, but also forced its residents to face difficulties and as a result 7.7 million Venezuelans left the country.

Economic sanctions are restrictions imposed by countries or international organizations to restrict trade and economic relations with particular countries or organizations for political or security reasons. They can be generic or targeted, and are used to achieve foreign policy objectives, such as fighting terrorism and promoting human rights, often serving as a lower-risk alternative to military intervention. Economic sanctions in Venezuela are in response to political and humanitarian concerns in the EU and some Latin American countries especially the US. The U.S. Department of State summarizes many of the sanctions on its official website, these sanctions target the Venezuelan government led by President Nicolas Maduro, particularly human rights abuses that run through the country important oil industry related to, and because of widespread allegations that corruption.

The measures also stem from concerns about the legitimacy of elections in Venezuela, which many international observers consider fraudulent, and accusations of government involvement in terrorism and drug trafficking of the Sanctions aimed at forcing the Maduro regime to restore democracy and improve the human rights situation in the country. US Department of State spokesperson Matthew Miller said that “We are concerned that Maduro and his representatives prevented the democratic opposition from registering the candidate of their choice, harassed and intimidated political opponents, and unjustly detained numerous political actors and members of civil society”.

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

The Venezuelan economy has been in steep decline for over a decade, influenced heavily by falling oil prices, governmental mismanagement, and the impact of international sanctions. These factors have changed this economic rich country to a Petro state. In 1973, it is highest percapita income generating country the region but when in 1998 Hugo Chávez, elected president of Venezuela, initially aimed to reduce poverty using the country’s oil wealth. Although his “Bolivarian missions” cut poverty by about 20%, his policies led to a decline in oil production. Key mistakes included firing thousands of experienced PDVSA workers during a 2002-2003 strike, which diminished the company’s expertise.

Additionally, Chávez’s subsidized oil provision to other countries depleted Venezuela’s reserves, and by the end of his presidency in 2013, government debt had more than doubled, highlighting significant economic mismanagement. Then the political instability during  Maduro’s regime further deteriorate the economic conditions in addition to the crises faced by country due to economic sanctions and COVID-19 pandemic. Venezuela exemplifies a failed petro state, heavily reliant on oil, which has financed nearly two-thirds of the government’s budget. The economy suffered severely after oil prices plummeted from over 100 per barrel in2014 to under 30 in 2016. Despite a 5% growth in 2023, GDP shrank by roughly 75% from 2014 to 2021. Oil production has declined due to inadequate investment, although exports rose by 12% in 2023 due to eased U.S. sanctions. With an estimated debt burden exceeding $150 billion and inflation hitting 190% in 2023, the economic outlook remains bleak.

Human Security Implications

In 2017, the U.S. government enhanced the sanctions to tackle unelected government of Venezuela, But the U.S. attempts to destroy Venezuela’s elected government promptly collapsed, and civilians stood by the consequences of the U.S. sanctions, and civilians have borne the ill-consequences of US sanctions. The constant economic instability due to a number of factors has great impacts on human security. The World Food Program estimates that one in three Venezuelans faces food insecurity and requires assistance. According to the 2020 National Survey of Life Conditions, 8% of children under five were acutely malnourished, and 30% were chronically malnourished. In the most vulnerable neighborhoods, Caritas reported that 14.4% of children under five suffer from malnutrition. Access to maternal health and reproductive services in Venezuela has worsened due to the Covid-19 pandemic, exacerbating an already critical situation.

There is an estimated 80% scarcity of contraceptives, according to UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA), and 352 maternal fatalities were reported in 2019. Pregnancy centers around the country have stopped offering prenatal and postnatal care, and nongovernmental organizations have reported that pregnant patients who may have Covid-19 are not receiving timely care. Over 40,000 deaths in 2017–18 were attributed to sanctions, according to a report by the Centre for Economic and Policy Research. They have also caused millions of people to flee the nation, raised sickness and mortality rates, and played a significant role in the economic crisis that has resulted in shortages of food and medication.

The Venezuelan government has been clamping down on dissent and regulating the media for more than ten years. It has suspended websites for vague reasons like “incitement” and prosecuted those who are thought to be impolite to the administration and officials, resulting in lack of freedom of expression in the country. Even though some media outlets criticize the government, self-censorship is common because of fear of retaliation. Further restricting free speech is the 2017 Law Against Hatred, which levies harsh fines for disseminating words deemed intolerable. Additionally, during the Covid-19 state of emergency, numerous people have been charged for criticizing public authorities or policies on social media.

The humanitarian situation in Venezuela is being reported by the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR), who is also keeping an eye on continued abuses such as arbitrary arrests, torture, and forced disappearances. The International Criminal Court (ICC) initiated a first investigation in 2018 regarding claims of disproportionate force against protestors and grave mistreatment during incarceration. A probe was requested by six ICC member states. Meanwhile, in 2020, Latin American countries hosting Venezuelan migrants convened under the Quito Process to coordinate responses to the migration and humanitarian crises, pledging to enhance international cooperation in addressing these urgent issues.

The UN Humanitarian Response Plan sought 762.5 million to aid 4.5 million of the most vulnerable people in 2020, including 87.9 million specifically to address the health and socioeconomic impacts of Covid-19. This was due to the estimated 7 million people in Venezuela who were in need of humanitarian assistance.

Venezuelans face severe challenges due to hyperinflation, making basic food unaffordable, as a month’s salary often fails to cover essentials. Supermarket shelves are frequently empty, and the health sector suffers from 85% medicine shortages, prompting many medical professionals to leave the country. The bolivar has lost significant value, requiring 14 million bolivars for a chicken, leading the government to introduce new banknotes removing five zeros. This crisis has resulted in widespread poverty and a collapse in living standards across the nation.

Without a concerted effort from both domestic and international actors to address these challenges, the situation in Venezuela is likely to worsen, perpetuating the cycle of instability and insecurity. To restore human security and rebuild the country, it is essential to foster an inclusive dialogue aimed at political reconciliation and to alleviate the economic burdens faced by its citizens.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz Visit to Central

0

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is expected to visit Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan on September 15-17, 2024. As part of a business delegation, the minister seeks to advance German foreign policy and improve relations with these Central Asian states. His program entails the meeting with the Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev and the Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev. Major subjects of discussion during this visit will concern collaboration in sectors such as trade, transport, and energy. Scholz will also attend the “Central Asia-Germany” (C5+1) format summit in Kazakhstan on September 17.

The summit that involves Germany and five Central Asian nations will enhance regional cooperation and thus expand Germany’s engagement in Central Asia. According to the data, the trade turnover between Germany and Uzbekistan was $506.3 million in the first half of 2024; however, German exports have reduced by 47%. However, the exports of Uzbekistan to Germany have a meager increase of only 3 percent. This visit should provide both parties with new prospects for cooperation, especially in the energy and technology sectors. Scholz’s visit affirms the German focus on Central Asia as a region with significant potential for forming new economic relations, especially as the global economy evolves.

Source:  The Times of Central Asia, KUN.UZ

Voting In Algeria

0

Algerians are heading to the polls today in a highly anticipated presidential election, where President Abdelmadjid Tebboune is expected to win a second term. Tebboune, 78, is facing two challengers, Abdelali Hassani Cherif and Youcef Aouchiche, but his victory seems assured, with support from major political groups and the military.

The election takes place in a tense political climate. While Tebboune campaigned on economic reforms and anti-corruption efforts during his first term, critics point to inflation, high unemployment, and a crackdown on political dissent. Tebboune’s government has faced growing criticism over its repressive measures following the Hirak movement protests of 2019-2021, which led to the ousting of former President Abdelaziz Bouteflika.

Turnout is a key issue, with concerns about voter apathy after only 40 percent participated in the 2019 elections. The election’s timing was moved up from December, which Tebboune attributed to international pressures.

Algeria, a vital energy supplier to Europe and the largest gas exporter in Africa, plays a central role in regional politics. Its 47 million people, including a large youth population, face pressing issues like unemployment and economic instability. A victory for Tebboune is expected to maintain Algeria’s focus on energy exports and controlled economic reforms, but political repression and dissent remain key concerns.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict: A Catalyst for NATO’s Enhanced Posture

Russia and Ukraine are located in a strategic position with a shared border. Despite sharing a common border, both had differences in ideology or policies. Russia claimed to have a connection (culturally, religiously, and politically) with Ukraine’s territory. But Ukraine’s focus is on the Western side and wants to be a part of the EU and NATO. These differences escalated the situation resulting in a conflict of 2014, and then a more intensified situation in 2022. These conflicts highlight the existing differences between Russia, Ukraine, and the Western World, contributing to shaping the major alliances. By implementing sanctions on Russia, the Western response again indicates NATO’s enhanced position in global politics. This article focuses how the Russia-Ukraine strategic location and conflict is shaping NATO’s position in the world.

NATO

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) was formed in 1949 for a collective defense from the Eastern Alliance or Soviets. However, Dr. Jamie Shea, Deputy Assistant Secretary-General for Emerging Security Challenges pointed out that the NATO formation was because of despair and relentlessness during that time. But whatever the reason was, the creation of the WARSAW Pact by the Soviets was a result of NATO which intensified the situation towards the arms race.

However, the WARSAW Pact was dissolved in 1991 but NATO survived till today becoming the strongest alliance. NATO should have ceased when the WARSAW Pact was dissolved. After the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact, the purpose of NATO also diminished and its existence became questionable. But the alliance still endured for these two mandates. First, to deter the rise of militant nationalism. Second, to provide the foundation of collective security to encourage democratization and political integration in Europe. With this existence, NATO expanded towards the Middle East and Eastern Europe. NATO mainly focused on the three core tasks: deterrence and defense; crisis prevention and management; and cooperative security.

This year at 75th anniversary NATO of Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg claimed NATO the most long-lasting and successful alliance in history.

Russia-Ukraine War 2022

Russia had interests in Ukraine not only because they shared a border but also due to deep cultural, economic, and political bonds. Even during a Direct Line, Putin said that Russians and Ukrainians are “one people – one nation”. From this statement, it is evident how much Russia holds Ukraine close and any influence from the West on Ukraine will impact the Russians. NATO and Ukraine have had deep connections since 1990, in the 2008 Bucharest Summit, NATO members reaffirmed Ukraine of its membership to NATO.

Russia alleged Ukraine to join the European Union and annexed Crimea in 2014. Putin in March 2014 by addressing this situation said, “There is a limit to everything. And with Ukraine, our Western partners have crossed the line.”

In 2022, this situation intensified when Ukraine wanted to joining NATO. The Russians, especially Putin, alleged that the US and NATO were violating the pledges made during the 1990s by not expanding their alliance in the former Soviet bloc. However, this fact was denied by NATO which states that such an agreement of not expanding alliances in the former Soviet bloc was not made and NATO has an open door for any members.

The attack in 2022 by the Russians on Ukraine made Western Allies closer and stronger. As NATO’s Article 5 of the Mutual Defense pointed out every member state had to protect or support another country if needed. Therefore, the Western powers and its partners provided aid to Ukraine and criticized Russia for this inhuman act. The NATO member states have been providing short-term and medium-to-long-term assistance through a Comprehensive Assistance Package (CAP). Besides the aid, international sanctions are imposed on Russia. Even many international projects between the different European states were suspended. The G7 countries in which Russia had a major role had put sanctions after the Russia-Ukraine war started.

Ukraine’s Membership in NATO

Just after the days of this conflict, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy submitted a formal application for Ukraine’s membership to NATO by demanding immediate approval of the application. However, alliances and critics have different opinions regarding Ukraine’s membership in NATO.

The NATO members opposed Ukraine being a part of NATO. The United States backed up the support of Ukraine and wanted it to be a part of NATO, and even insisted other members accept. Germany and France oppose Ukraine’s membership because they consider Ukraine unstable for the program and it will impact the peace by making Russia aggressive.

The critics had two opinions. The first opinion says that Ukraine being a part of NATO will deter the situation between Russia and Ukraine. However, this is a wishful situation by the critics because of what happened in 2014 and 2022. After all, Russia alleged Ukraine to be a part of the EU and NATO. So, the critics are unsure of Russia’s reaction once Ukraine joined NATO. The second opinion is the same as that of the alliance countries.

NATO’s Position in the World

The position of NATO in world politics transformed since 9/11. Even the Secretary General of NATO Lord Robertson said that Post 9/11, the transformation of NATO in world affairs had begun. The NATO alliances used Article 5 against the terrorism in Afghanistan post 9/11. Since the Crimea invasion by Russia, NATO countries committed strongly to spending two percent of GDP on defense. However, many European countries fell short of this spending, which came into the spotlight after the 2022 conflict. The Western countries, especially NATO members, supported Ukraine by assisting defense as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was a direct threat to the allies’ security. However, the 2014 and 2022 conflicts gave NATO a new direction of imposing Article 5 and supporting Ukraine.

But for the first time Mr. Trump in a joint interview in 2016 with two European publications had considered the NATO alliance obsolete and even on the eve of accepting the Republican nomination for president set conditions for supporting NATO alliances which would depend on their spending in 2016. Recently on Feb 2024, he again pointed out those states that are not spending and would encourage Russia to attack these allies. He even called Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy a perfect salesman who never returns empty-handed from a country. On one side, presidential nominee Trump is condemning the support to Ukraine, and on the other side, his running mate JD Vance remarked the Russia-Ukraine conflict that doesn’t matter to him. The alliance member states opposed these statements and called out Mr. Trump for these statements.

Conclusion

The tensions between Russia and Ukraine are not coming to an end. The willingness of Ukraine to join NATO and Russia being aggressive in assuming Ukraine joining NATO would impact the world. Many Western analysts claimed that the NATO membership to Ukraine does not seem likely. However, if it does, the situation could become worse, dividing the world into two parts: the Alliance of Russia and NATO Alliances just like the Cold War situation. No doubt, the Russia-Ukraine conflict highlighted a strong Western alliance but the future US elections would determine the role of NATO and world politics. This conflict has given a new meaning to NATO by highlighting strong Western support towards Ukraine.

Kyrgyzstan’s Bold Move: Taliban Removed from Terrorist List

0

Kyrgyzstan has recently de-listed the Taliban as a terrorist organization, denying its stance in the Southern Central Asia region on the ruling group of Afghanistan. The new list was released by the Kyrgyz Prosecutor General’s Office in early September 2024 with 20 organizations on the list, but the Taliban was not on that list. This comes after the Taliban, which has been a terrorist group as declared by the Pervomaysky District Court on a prior date of 2006, after their reign in Afghanistan. Azamat Yusupov, a deputy head of Kyrgyzstan’s State Commission on Religious Affairs, said that “the decision was due to the “recent events in Afghanistan,” and he admitted that the judiciary finally decided to close them. He stated that the move could potentially pave the way for the recognition of the Taliban government in Afghanistan. The same pattern has been observed in Kazakhstan, where the group was recently taken off the list of terrorists. The decision is viewed as a part of the new regional reorientation process, with most Central Asian countries reevaluating their position towards the Taliban, who seized power in Afghanistan in 2021.

Taliban’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ spokesperson Abdul Qahar Balkhi also welcomed the decision, referring to it as “a commendable step” designed to remove hindrances to the development of relations. Although the number of banned organizations has reduced in recent years, it still lists several infamous organizations, such as ISIS, Al-Qaeda, and the East Turkestan Islamic Movement. Some political scientists believe this may help to increase political and economic relations between Kyrgyzstan and Afghanistan, although this remains a rather debatable decision given the fact that the Taliban is still banned internationally.

Source: TOLOnews, The Times of Central Asia

Netanyahu challenges U.S. Optimism Amid Stalled Negotiations

0

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu refutes American statements that the cease-fire negotiations in Gaza are about to go forward, saying that an agreement is not yet in sight, while the Biden administration remains hopeful despite ongoing challenges. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has brushed off the Biden administration’s optimistic claims about a near-term cease-fire agreement with Hamas, asserting, “There’s not a deal in the making. Unfortunately, it’s not close.” This statement contrasts sharply with the administration’s public stance, which has suggested that negotiations are close to concluding.
National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby countered Netanyahu’s remarks, stating,
“90% – verge of a deal. You call that optimistic, I call that accurate.” Kirby acknowledged the difficulties but emphasized ongoing efforts, saying, “We still believe, though this is incredibly difficult … if there’s compromise, if there’s leadership, we can still get there” Hamas has expressed frustration with the stalling talks, with Khalil al-Hayya, head of the group’s negotiating team, accusing Netanyahu of using “evasions and deceptive maneuvers” to avoid an agreement. The resistance group demands that the U.S. exert more pressure on Israel, claiming that Netanyahu’s insistence on retaining control over the Philadelphi Corridor is a major obstacle.

The U.S. administration remains committed to reaching a resolution, despite significant challenges and recent setbacks, amid a deeply entrenched and escalating conflict.