January 8, 2026
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In the silent, sterile confines of clean rooms across Asia, a critical theatre of 21st-century strategic competition is unfolding. It does not include the thunder of jet engines or the explosion of munitions, but rather the precise deposition of materials at the atomic level, thinner than a human hair. Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD) is the technology behind a silent revolution that is transforming the boundaries of economic competitiveness and military capabilities and making control over material a new pillar of national power.

The world market in ALD, which is estimated to expand from USD 7.16 billion in 2025 to USD 12.30 billion in 2030, represents more than an indicator of industrial development. It is the quiet backbone of electronic warfare, high-tech semiconductors and advanced defence systems. East Asia’s methodical conquest of the ALD landscape provides a masterclass in state-driven technological strategy.

The Chinese strategy has been typically holistic, promoting its ALD growth with a concise force of synergy between an already flourishing semiconductor sector and direct government mandate. Plans such as Made in China 2025 have placed resources in strategic areas including advanced manufacturing, and ALD is seen as a key facilitator in this process. The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to optimise ALD processes for superior yield and precision demonstrates a commitment not just to adoption, but to leading the next wave of innovation.

In a similar manner, Japan and South Korea have utilised their existing advantages to excel in specialised, high-value areas of the market. The exquisite mastery of nanotechnology and materials science, coupled with the high-quality standards of its automotive and electronics sectors, has made Japan the driving force in developing highly reliable and sophisticated ALD applications. South Korea, a titan in semiconductors and display technologies, treats ALD as an essential utility, the invisible hand that allows for the continued miniaturisation and enhanced performance of the chips powering the global digital economy.

Perhaps the most instructive case for emerging economies is Vietnam. This market is rapidly advancing from a low-cost manufacturing centre to a powerful competitor in the high-tech supply chain. The ALD market, though still emerging in Hanoi, is being propelled by international investments and active government assistance for the transfer of technology. Vietnam’s approach emphasises an important idea: one does not have to invent the core technology to effectively implement and expand it. By creating a favourable investment climate and building local expertise, a nation can efficiently climb the value chain.

To view ALD merely through an industrial lens is to miss its profound strategic significance. This technology is the cornerstone of modern electronic warfare (EW) and defence capabilities. The same ALD-deposited thin films that protect a smartphone’s processor are used to create radar-absorbent coatings for stealth aircraft, enhance the heat resistance of turbine blades in fighter jets, and produce sensitive components in signals intelligence (SIGINT) systems. A nation’s proficiency in ALD directly influences the resilience, sophistication, and miniaturisation of its defence electronics.

In a potential conflict scenario, dominance in the electromagnetic spectrum is paramount. It is possible to jam enemy communications, guard one’s own systems against problems, or make sure the intricate guidance systems are reliable, all of which depend on complex materials tasks perfected through procedures such as ALD. Reliance on external suppliers of these technologies is a severe weakness in the defence supply chain of a country. Thus, the decision to invest in the ALD capacity cannot be made just as an economic one; it is a direct investment in national security and strategic sovereignty.

For countries like Pakistan, monitoring the targeted pathways of regional leaders in acquiring this technology serves as an important lesson in national sovereignty, especially in a world characterised by technological stratification. The lesson is not to immediately compete with technological leaders, but to consciously begin the strategic journey of adoption. A passive approach will only widen the technological gap, with direct implications for both economic competitiveness and military modernisation.

A rational strategy must treat ALD as a national priority. This requires sustained funding towards fundamental research and to have common and state-of-the-art research centres to create a professional workforce and promote the integration of academia and industry with defence establishments. Crucially, strategic technical partnerships, following Vietnam’s model, should be sought to acquire operational know-how through joint ventures and building practical experience that can later be leveraged for defence-related applications.

The race for atomic-level precision is a race for future-proof power. The quiet growth of the ALD market is a bellwether for the shifting balance of technological and, therefore, strategic influence. Sovereignty in the 21st century will be determined not only by the strength of militaries but by the atomic-level sophistication of industry. The time for strategic nations to build this foundational capability is now.

About Dr Zahid Khan

Dr Zahid Khan is an Associate Senior Researcher at the Centre for Aerospace and Security Studies (CASS) Lahore, Pakistan.

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